Betting Report : 310/1 at 3.10

If I happened to be a layer - which I am not- I would have financial means - which I don't have - and I would always lay favourites or nothing bigger than 3/1. If you put yourself in the shoes of a layer, it's funny to see how cautious you end up when it comes to selecting 'no-hopers'. Basically they all have a chance and, it's only natural to think that Neil Charmers' mount, Lowther, had a tiny chance to land this Event Guard Staff Maiden Stakes. A little bit after 3.10, I would have had a heart-attack - or a 'laystroke' had I said : ''No this horse can't win here, he's quite priced but it don't matter''. But, why would you do that in the first place? Anyhow, I wish them a full recovery because 310/1 was the toll on Betfair.

Going back to his debut in a National Hunt Flat race at Ludlow, and given his pedigree, it is quite striking that he was able to 'make headway 5 furlongs out' which situates us around 11 furlongs in running. It's all the same rather surprising that Lowther's dam, ever-so mediocre sprinter Ever So Lonely is by Headin' up, another sprinter whose 6f stamina index wasn't very encouraging for a trip over a mile. American-bred Sire, Beat All is by Dynaformer out of Spirited Missus. Now, Beat All was actually a decent animal, third in Oath's Derby in 1999 and glancing at his progeny stats, interestingly enough, he's had a strike-rate of 22 per cent for producing 10-11f winners but dropping as low as 7 per cent for 7-9f winners. At any rate, it has taught us backers a lesson...Why would a trainer drop back in trip that much? From 16 f to 8f! It doesn't happen than often does it? That was puzzling and there had to be a reason.

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Sources : Betfair Betting Exchanges - http://www.racingPost.com
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