Thursday 14 January 2010

Sea The Star's rating is just not Right

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By Arsène ABITBOL - 16th Jan. 15.33 pm
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136 lbs...That's what Sea The Stars was given after his gliterring career...That is what was awarded 3 y.o who made history when he romped home in the 2,000 Guineas , The Epsom Derby and the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe - video link -. To start with, he is the only one who has done this !

Secondly, he broke the track record in the Coral-sponsored Eclispe Stakes, completing the 10 f in 2'03''40... What else can handicappers expect ?? The horse beat what he was given to beat. He is smart, so he doesn't enjoy making too much and saves his gears and effort. That is his temper because he is smart. So much so, that when parading in the paddock on 4th October (Arc Day), many French jockeys said they had never ever seen such a cool horse.

Similarly to Zarkava who was given a dismal rating, Sea The Stars never dug further than 80 % of his capabilities. I am not making this up as his partner Mick Kinane spoke about 80 % ... Handicappers should have taken this into account...they might have, but certainly not enough..Anyhow, 136 lbs is just not right, and it is not a fair tribute to an exceptional thoroughbred of his calibre. Peintre Célèbre was rated 137 and I am curious to know if the handicapper at the time was the same because, make no mistake, The Wildenstein horse, was a fantastic racehorse and a great tribute to French racing (myself beign a French national) but he did not achieve what S.T.S achieved.

Monday 11 January 2010

An interview with Mick Kinane

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 11th Jan - pm
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I was very lucky to be able to speak to the Great Mick Kinane, one of the jockeys I have amways admired, and that I still admire. It is not very journalistic nor professional to say that but it's necessary to say what one feels sometimes.. Anyway, here is the interview I did with Mick Kinane shortly after he decided to retire in December 2009, shortly after the Great Sea The Stars outclassed his rivals in the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, at Longchamp.

How did it feel to ride after Sea The Stars' romp in the Arc ?

"(long sighs)...It was fun , I had a good time in South Africa but I knew the end was coming soon. In Japan, I decided to call it an end. I love riding horses even if it doesn't mean the same to me when I am not on board Sea The Stars ... he is unique. At 50, I say to myself, that I had a fabulous career and Sea The Stars allowed me to leave on the highest note. He brought me so much. Anytime, I talk about him, it's moving. "

Sea The Stars meant so much to you, did he not ?

"He is an outstanding thoroughbred (very emotional) . He is got it all, he has no weaknesses, he has got a great physique, the strongest mind and an impressive natural speed. Above all, he so cold-blooded, nothing bothers him, that is his main strength to me. 99 % of all racehorses get hyperactive aft er they 've had a race but him....never. I have never seen such calmness. He won the Arc de Triomphe so easily .. I can say for sure, he was only at 80 per cent, he didn't need to dig more than that. His engine is just "untrue"

"Sea The Stars thought the race wasn't over "

When the race was finished, Christophe Soumillon wanted to grab my hand to congratulate me but Sea The Stars felt a horse was coming (Stacelita), so he took me and went further clear ! I couldn't do anything ! (laughs) ! It gives you an idea about his shape after such a race as The Arc... He was fresh and thought the race wasn't over. He is extremely calm but has a domineering attitude.

"I want to take some time "

What are your plans now ?

"I'll continue riding horses for John Oxx, about twice a week, I wouls say. I intend to stay fit and this will get me out of bed in the morning ! I have a lot of gratitude for John, and I wish to help out as much as I can. On the other hand, I want to take time. For my family and my hobbies. I enjoy playing golf. Myself and my wife Catherine play regularly. I also spend time gardening in my farm and from time to time, I go sailing."

"I am passionate about breeding "

"I was fortunate enough to breed Authorized (Derby winner) with 2 associates and friends. I am very proud of him and I felt a huge satisfaction when he won this Classic. I have a small breeding operation where we have 3 mares. It 's named Eadling Farm."

"Sea The Stars should make an outstanding stallion "

It's a delicate question, but how do see his career as a stallion ?

"(very assertive) He should make a great stallion. I really don't see why he wouldn't be very good. His pedigree is outstanding, he's a brother to Galileo and his Dam, Urban Sea produced exceptionnally well...

"The French always welcomed me very warmly"

Many fans here will miss you, you know...

"I have had great moments I 'll never forget in France and racing fans, jockeys and trainers always gave me a warm welcome. Maybe, I'll pay a visit one of these days.








Friday 8 January 2010

Why Denman will beat Kauto Star ...

Who's got the ability to defeat the dual Gold Cup winner Kauto Star ? Given his latest romp in the King George VI Chase (Gr I)...There aren't many candidates... There's just one. Denman. Not only "the tank" is its unique challenger, but he is the one who's about to end Kauto's reign in March...So why Denman will beat Kauto Star in the 2010 Cheltenham Gold Cup ?


If Denman was a man he would be 7 ft tall and would weigh around 300 pounds. Not only would he be a giant, but he would be articulate, agile, fit and toned. Denman's physique is impressive and so is his ability to deal with the hardest fences in the world. He has never been in the Grand National, but when you see Denman's agility, would you honestly think, Aintree would pose any kind of problem ? In all honesty, I don' t think so... The fact is Denman is the most fluent over fences. He is so spontaneous...he's sometimes unreal.

One has to admit that Kauto Star (FR) is an exceptional horse, a true champion, who has achieved what only Desert Orchid has achieved in the King George VI and Kauto Relka's son is a "special horse". I would say that right-handed, he is untouchable. No one, even Denman , or any given chaser can't even think about approaching him. He is too far ahead. He has got no one to match him. The only horse that can match him is himself. Meaning, he 'll lose only if he fells. Otherwise, he is just untrue on a right-handed track.

That's Denman's weakness. Denman is not a fan of Kempton and isn't so easy right-handed. He is so powerful and fluent that he's at his best on undulating, tough, left-handed galloping tracks. Like Cheltenham. Aintree is too flat for him. After he 's had his heart operation, Denman came back a few weeks later to finish 7 lengths behind Kauto Star in the 2009 Gold Cup. What an extraordinary performance !!!


There's just a word to describe such an achievement : "Class" . Would you be able to run a 1 500 metres after having a fibrillating heart a few months earlier ? And finish 10 metres behind the reigning world champion ?

Sam Thomas' mount did. Denman did. He is so gifted, and I'm very convinced he is even more natural and flawless than Kauto Star when it comes to jump technique. I believe the 2010 Cheltenham Gold Cup is a very obvious matter. If and if only Denman's back to his best, which might be the case (His 2009 Hennessy Gold Cup win at Newbury is a good indicator) in March 2010? Then...then.. There will be no rematch. Denman's going to beat Kauto.

Plain and simple. At his best, he'll set a frantic tempo, and will dishearten his rivals one after the other. Even Kauto will struggle to follow in the final 500 yards, that's for sure, because that's what happened in 2008 an 2010 is about to repeat !! To say the truth, I am happy about that. I am a Denman fan. I am French, so is Kauto Star, but Denman is truly the greatest at Cheltenham. If he is at his top of his game, physically, he will beat Kauto and anyone else.
See you in March.

Monday 6 July 2009

Lord Shanakill Deserved Group Trophy !!

Considered as a revenge of the French 2 000 Guineas, the Group I Prix Jean Prat has seen the likes of Bailamont, Priolo, Bago, and more recently Tamayuz who retired to stud, Lord Shanakill, the Karl Burke-trained three year-old landed the Chantilly contest.


For various reasons, there are Group I horses who have not bagged any competition of this sort; having been either unlucky or outgunned by Group machines like Galileo, Sea the Stars, or Mastercraftsman. That story very much rang the bell with Lord Shanakill who produced his best effort in that kind of company, and Sunday's win was fully deserved. It's even easier to say : 'it was overdue'.


Especially since his victory probably meant a lot to his mentor, Karl Burke, who registered his first Group I winner. It was all the more a relief since Jim Crowley's mount appeared slighlty unsettled until the three-furlong marker, but the son of Speightstown - an American stallion - proved too tough in the straight. The three year old gallopped relentlessly until the post, and managed to repel Oiseau de Feu's fierce challenge. In the meantime, the Yorkshire-based handler ended Jean-Claude Rouget's supremacy over parisian Group I tournaments. The undefeated German challenger, Irian, finished well to take third. As to Westphalia, the Aidan O'Brien-trained favourite disappointed, and never looked at home. Jimmy Fortune could not do wonders and the horse might have exerted himself a little bit. He has been campaigned rather heavily over the last few months.

A few days before the race, connections expected a bold performance from their leading colt, and He might be heading towards the Jacques le Marois at Deauville; probably the richest and best French event over the mile. The prize on offer reaches 600,000 € and will be staged in August . However, the immediate target are the Sussex Stakes, on July 29th at Goodwood.

Saturday 20 June 2009

Living Legend Yeats!















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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 20 June 2009 -
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YEATS (IRE)
Sire: Sadler's Wells (USA)
Dam : Lyndonville (IRE) (TopVille)
Age : 8 y-o, born 23 April 2001
Particularities : won from 8 to 20 furlongs, 7 Group I wins.
Others : undefeated at Goodwood (2/2), Leopardstown (2/2),& Ascot (4/4)
History : 4 triumphs in the Ascot Gold Cup.
Races : 24 Victories : 15
Earned : 1,298,000 £
Status : LIVING LEGEND


What Yeats has just achieved is simply beyond belief! Since the Ascot Gold Cup was created 207 years ago, no horse had ever been able to win this four times in a row. To say the truth, many things about him are unbelievable. For instance, the fact that an eight year-old is still able to thwart a young contender like Patkai. The 'young contender' is three years younger than him, and in racing terms that's a massive age difference.

Even if it's largely due to Yeats' constitution, the son of Sadler's Wells has been well taken care of. It's rare enough to maintain a racehorse in top condition when he/she is five or six, but in the case of an eight year-old, it has to be called an ''outstanding training performance'' from Aidan O'Brien and all the Ballydoyle team. How come Yeats has been coping with that many fights and that much toughness? All of the tournaments he took part in were always contested at top level, in top company; taking on younger and battle-hardened competitors, we are talking about genuine hardship. The kind of test, the vast majority of thoroughbreds could not bear for more than two or three years at the most. Well, in the case of Yeats - the iron horse -, both age and hardship very much failed to make an impact on him.

What's more, is Yeats' times in his four Gold Cups:

On 22 June 2006 , he clocked up 20 furlongs in 4'20''45, on 21 June 2007, in 4'20''78, at the time he was aged six. A year later, the tempo was slower in the 2008 GoldCup and the time read 4'21''10. Finally, a few years ago, on June 18, the Ascot marathon was rounded up in 4'20''73. Mind Blowing! Nearly as good as when he landed his first Cup four years ago! In other words, this means that at 8, he displayed the same strength as in 2006, when he was much younger - (five years-old).

Interestingly enough, if we extrapolate, it seems reasonable to establish the following scale : Aged three, the physical ability of a thoroughbred would compare to that of a 18/20-year-old young man. Aged five, the tonus of a racehorse would be similar to that of a 26/28-year-old man, and an older horse - let's say eight! - could easily compare to a more mature individual, aged around 38/40 years old. Hence, the following thought : How come a given 40 y-o-individual would perform just as well as he did when he was 28? Isn't that something? It only takes an exceptional animal, the kind of horse that makes history and Yeats is now a Living Legend, an Immortal in the racing world.

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Sources : BBC Sport TV Channel
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Tuesday 16 June 2009

Tartan Bearer Given Golden Opportunity.

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 16 June 2009 - 21.28pm
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Azamour, Grandera, Ouija Board, Fantastic Light, Dubai Millenium and more recently Manduro carved their names in the hall of fame of the Prince of Wales' Stakes.
Though ran over 1m2f, this contest is also used as a prep race for classic pattern races staged over 1m4f later in the season. When he disposed of Dalakhani, Azamour became hero of the Irish Derby and went on to land the King George VI at Newbury), and notched third in the Breeder's Cup Turf at BelmontPark), Grandera followed up in Irish Champion Stakes.
Ouija Board, Lord Derby’s ‘a mare in a million’ will go on to score in the Nassau Stakes and in the Breeder's Cup Turf. As to Fnatastic Light, he proved to be a special horse too and was subsequent winner of the Irish Champion Stakes and Breeder's Cup Turf in 2001. Having bagged three Group Is before Ascot, Dubai Millenium, won nine contests out of ten and the Prince of Wales’s was his last triumph. He made sure however to smash the oppposition by a minimum of eight lengths before his new career as a stallion...Last but not least, an Andre Fabre-trained horse who could have - or should have - joined Montjeu’s, Sinndar’s, or Peintre Célèbre’ s Hall of Fame : Manduro. Two years ago, Manduro’s abitlity was above Dylan Thomas’. The latter emerged an Arc winner in 2007. Following this, the Prince of Wales' Stakes were rated as ‘2007 Best European Race'!


Runner-up in New Approach’s Derby, Tartan Bearer had a luckless experience in last year’s controversial Irish Derby but tomorrow Sir Michael Stoute’s charge is provided a golden opportunity to capture his first Group I. Tartan Bearer is such a consistent type that one can wonder if he’s ever had a bad day. That might occur on Wednesday,otherwise… Here’s quite a telling fact : Having contested only six races, his bank account already tops 530,000 £ and glancing at his performances, the Ballymacoll four-year-old is likely to prove the classiest. Alternatively, French contender, Vision d'Etat is a very classy sort however Tartan does have more room for improvement. Finally, the son of Spectrum remains unbeaten over 1m2f - three out of three. He is the one who’ll take all the beating.


Out of eight runners, two of them will be crossing the Channel, representing all-conquering Jean-Claude Rouget and Eric Libaud. It is fair to say that Rouget has established himself as the best European trainer over the last few weeks and Never on Sunday’s first try at Group I level proved successful in the Prix d'Ispahan at Longchamp. He’s aiming a tougher affair but he’s surely able to be in the shake-up. 1000 Guineas winning jockey Christophe Lemaire will be in the saddle.

Cockney Rebel’s partner in the English & Irish 2000 Guineas, Olivier Peslier was asked to aboard 2008 French Derby winner Vision D’etat. Recent conqueror of the Gr I Prix Ganay at Longchamp, the four year old will bid for a third Group I title. Fifth in Zarkava’s Arc, the form has been franked up by Ask and Youmzain - respectively 6th and 2nd in the Arc- and judged on this performance he’s got a strong chance. Following another controversial episode, it’s a shame Ioritz Mendizabal won’t be at Royal Ascot.

Having performed below par for his comeback in the Earl of Sefton Stakes (Gr III), Twice Over made such a favorable impression in the Lockinge Stakes (Gr I, 3rd) that reversing form with Virtual is not unlikely and if the son of Observatory proved too good for his rivals, neither would that be a fluke. Raced in a prominent manner, Henry Cecil’s representative wouldn’t give up without a fight. Virtual came 1st and Alexandros 2nd but there wasn’t much at all between them three. The Warren Place master will try to saddle his 5th Prince of Wales’s winner. Henry Cecil also declared on his website : ''Twice Over is in good order and will hopefully have a chance in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes. Some rain would be beneficial to him’’ . Let’s not forget that Twice Over’s such an able animal, he did beat a certain Raven’s Pass last year.

Gosden-trained Virtual is tried at 1m2f for the first time but one can’t see why he would not cope with it. The son of Pivotal landed the Lockinge Stakes having his first crack at that level and rider Jimmy Fortune gave him a splendid ride to deny Alexandros by a short head. Only tomorrow, Virtual might have to dig deeper than his partner because Tartan Bearer and Vision d'Etat will be in the way.

Formerly trained by French handler Philippe Demercastel,Trincot is a recent import for Godolphin and the Dubai Princes were probably impressed by the four year old’s victory in the Gr II Prix d’Harcourt at Longchamp. The son of Peintre Celebre was certainly an eye catcher and again he will love the trip and will hopefully handle Ascot. In order to display his best, Trincot needs a strong pace and provided he gets that, he is more than capable to come close. 12/1 is an attractive price.

John Gosden’s second string : Tazeez; whose latest performance is to erase. This horse is not straightforward but isn’t untalented. On a good day, he’s a genuine contender. German visitor, Estejo is set a very tough task. Best to be watched.

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Selection : Tartan Bearer
Biggest Threat : Twice Over
Outsider : Trincot
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Sources : htp://www.henrycecil.com- http://www.racingpost.com - http:www.bha.org
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Sunday 7 June 2009

Solid French Derby but













Not fantastic weather but a good race ran at a decent tempo. The Prix du Jockey-Club otherwise known as French Derby was completed by Le Havre in 2'06''80. Led to victory by ever-inspired stable jockey Christophe Lemaire, the son of Noverre offers a first Derby to all-conquering Jean-Claude Rouget and given the ease of his triumph, he looks good enough to carry on landing Gr I titles in the future.

He just bagged this contest with ease and authority. Now, Pau-based handler Rouget is left with many suitable entries. Still engaged in the St James Palace Stakes on June 16th, the Eclipse or Sussex Stakes are potential targets, as are the Gr I Prix Jean Prat at Chantilly or the Jacques le Marois both over a mile, respectively in June/July and August. If connections feel he is able to tackle 1m4f in the Grand Prix de Paris, that would be a huge gamble. At any rate, Le Havre has just proved us he is to be feared over 1m-1m2f.

The fact of the matter is except Vesuve, Wajir , Feels All Right and Beheshtam, the rest of the field, precisely thirteen of them, as Lawman (2007) and Shamardal (2005) are pure milers. Vesuve finished well and looked promising, while Wajir is surely better than what he showed us, Feels All right ran way too freely and quite understandably, there wasn't much left in the tank. Last year's contenders Chinchon, Montmartre, Magadan and Trincot did not look at home here but went on to be really smart afterwards. The same is probably true for those mentioned above, they should fare very well in the near future.

Raced over a 1m5f maiden four week ago, and tried in a 1m4f Listed Race, which he both mocked, Beheshtam was thrown into Group I company on his third run only and having to deal with a delicate draw -15/17 - he is most definitely the eye catcher of Sunday's contest. Strong-built, powerful, and as robust as a steeple-chaser, the son of Peintre Celebre was given a very patient ride by jockey Christophe Soumillon until he found his stride to produce a remarkable turn of foot in the straight to take fourth. Simply impressive!

Partner C.Soumilon declared on the Paris-Turf website - http://www.paris-turf.com - ''Had there had been two and a half furlongs more, we would have won''. We thought so! A French saying: '' dans la ligne droite, il a du en enrhumer plus d'un, treize en realite'' meaning : ''A few of them probably caught a cold in the straight, 13 of them actually''.

Criquette Head-trained runner-up Fuisse is a genuine Group I horse. He was set such a difficult task, having travelled with fast and furious-leaders, he had to bear a hard tempo but still appeared as a winner until caught by Le Havre in the final strides. Perhaps, partner Dominique Boeuf rallied prematurely at the business end, anyhow, the son of Green Tune is a very classy individual. He ought to be a big gun provided that he came out well from the race.

Ballydoyle delegated four contestants, in the shapes of Drumbeat -Gr I Criterium de St-Cloud runner-up- Set Sail, lightly-raced Malibu Bay, and Westphalia. The latter finished best under Johnny Murtagh to grab third a length and a half behind Fuisse. Drawn 13, he did very well.

Justifiably so, in the mind of French professionals, the 1m4f Gr I Grand Prix de Paris has emerged as the true three-year-olds Classic contest. The hitch : staged in mid July, the going at Longchamp can be so quick certain trainers describe the track as hazardous. Alain de Royer-Dupre had a bitter experience with Arc hope Montmartre. The horse over exerted himself, hurt his tendons and never raced again. So, anyone who enjoys seeing champions in action wouldn't want this to happen again.

All in all, this 2009 French Derby was of a very good standard and the first, second and fourth must be high class. Only the fact that most of them will go back to the mile distance in the next few weeks is regrettable. Very much so.


Thursday 4 June 2009

Rip Van Winkle : Murtagh or Ballydoyle ?

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 3 JUNE 2009 - 23.12 pm
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Saturday will be Derby Day and whether John Magnier’s, Derrick Smith’s or Michael Tabor’s silks see the post first: it doesn’t really matter. What matters is a Ballydoyle success.

Johnny Murtagh will partner Rip Van Winkle and given this evidence, we would like to think that he is the stable’s first string. Potentially, he has to be the best colt. The only hitch is: So far it hasn’t been the case, and it is rather unsure whether Rip remains a Derby horse. One thing is certain though, if this is genuinely Murtagh’s pick, his mount must show something out of the ordinary during the morning gallops. Cautious, the bookies have taken very few chances and generally cut the price from 6 / 1 to 7/2.

Still, history tells us that High Chapparal did land the Derby and at the time he was perceived as Coolmore’s second string. Runner-up Hawk Wing was Mick Kinane’s choice...

Let’s assume for a minute that Coolmore’s interests prevail on Murtagh’s interests; a plausible scenario after all. I suppose, it is common sense to say that Aidan O’Brien is seeking the best partnerships. Who matches who? – in the best way –

I can’t get my head around this: On one hand, what would you choose between Fame and Glory, Black Bear Island and Rip Van Winkle ? To be perfectly blunt it’s a very hard call. Personally I am more inclined to select Fame and Glory but at any rate, it’s far from obvious.
On the other hand, it’s a much easier task to match both mounts and riders accordingly to their racing styles and past achievements. Seamie Heffernan has demonstrated great instincts with Fame and Glory. Golden Sword was given a most astute ride in the Chester Vase, courtesy of Colm O’Donoghue, equally well inspired in the Dante Stakes aboard Black Bear Island. The latter enjoys storming from behind, just like his pilot Ryan Moore. That’s another fit. Master of the Horse will be partnered by Richard Hughes known for his talent when it comes to judging the pace in a race, and justifiably so, he might be used to set the pace. Possibly by default - for lack of better words – Pat Smullen inherits the ride of Age of Aquarius. Conqueror of the Lingfield Derby Trial on his return to action, the Galileo colt displayed a most satisfying effort. Even so, compared to other runners, he doesn’t boast the best form but is certainly progressive and possesses plenty of room for improvement. I rate him as the dark contender.

Rip Van Winkle could be the most gifted but is quirky and a complicated ride. The way he finished in the 2000 Guineas was rather impressive; however the son of Galileo is inclined to hang or to lose his balance. Having been his jockey since his debut, Murtagh shouldn’t experience anymore trouble with him. If such is the case, there will be no excuses and let the best horse win!

But again, his capacity to stay over 1m4f remains to be seen. Again, stepping up a three year-old from eight to twelve furlongs is quite a bet. Rip Van Winkle’s stamina will be subject to a harsh test; the first mile might be run at a furious pace and if that wasn’t enough his pedigree doesn’t suggest that much stamina. Finally and that will conclude this article; prior to the Guineas, the RacingPost reported that his preparation had been hampered by a stone bruise. Will this incident be of any consequence on Saturday? In short, many ‘ifs’; but if Johnny Murtagh bags a fourth Derby, he will have landed a massive gamble!


So Murtagh or Ballydoyle ? Opinion : I would say both parties. The former sticks to his gut feeling and the latter can’t figure who stands out, are not over-confident, but can figure out the best matches, otherwise why put six competitors in the line-up?


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Sources : BBC TV - http;//www.racingpost.com -
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Wednesday 3 June 2009

A Legitimate Ask for deserved success

Investec Coronation Cup 1m 4f Gr I 4yo +

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 3 JUIN 2009 - 21.21pm

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No concerns whatsoever as to Look here’s ability to handle the tricky profile of track since she’s a course and distance winner in last year’s Oaks. In the St Leger at Doncaster, she finished behind Conduit and unsung heroin, the former is an excellent horse - Breeder's Cup Turf - and the latter is a solid performer. By looking at her performance she was able to challenge Conduit around the12th-13th furlong, which means that Friday's trip of 1m4f will be optimum.Whether she'll be fit and ready to unleash remains to be answered, but on the form she has shown she is entitled to win.


Eastern Anthem for the Maktoum family hasn't seen anyone going past him on his four-year-old campaign. He boasts a perfect record whose form provides a solid basis. He disposed of Spanish Moon, Purple moon, Quijano and Youmzain at Nad el Sheba. That was quite a race and Saeed Bin Suroor's charge has been blossoming this year. Rated 120 he also has every right to play a huge role in this Coronation Cup.

Youmzain : Last year's runner-up in this event bids to gain an overdue success at this level and this time the dual Arc runner-up won’t have to deal with Soldier of Fortune and MacArthur. This year's renewal is probably off a lesser standard and that will play to his strength. In 2008, he campaigned against much stronger horses and his unlucky comeback at Nad el Sheba also proved that he's still in good nick. Richard Hills is to ride him yet to victory but Mick Channon's protege is a logical favourite.

Ask : From Sir Michael Stoute's yard who's unrivalled in bringing the best out of older horses, he put everything in trouble in the Gr II Yorkshire Cup a fortnight ago and at six year-old he is still very lightly raced - 15 runs - is proven at Group I level and last year's 6th in Zarkava's Arc situates his ability. He can be very close provided he adapts to Epsom.

Frozen Fire is a top class thoroughbred on his day, but he ran an awful race at Chester last time out. His form was head and shoulders above but he failed to deliver. Whether John Murtagh should have taken the lead remains debatable as he’s such a tricky ride. Whether he was not good enough remains debatabe too. The son of Montjeu needs a race run at fast pace and he will surely find these conditions on Friday. The big question mark is on the grounds of his Irish Derby win he is a leading contender, on the basis of his Chester outing he doesn’t stand much of a chance. He is the dark horse, let’s just hope that he will show his true colours.

Bucellati captured the Gr II Ormonde Stakes in good style, the form of which has been franked since runner-up Scintillo came out the strongest in Sunday's Gr II Grand Prix de Chantilly over in France. He also cleared from Frozen Fire but again the relevance of the Ormonde Stakes form is very doubtful. Even though he is coming here with the profile of a late improver he's still up against it with this type of company. Being in the shake-up would be legitimate though.

This line-up looks a bit too classy for Expresso star, if he completes the winning quartet, there will be no disgrace.

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Selection : Ask

Ousider : Eastern Anthem

Biggest Threat : Youmzain

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Sources : http://www.racingpost.com


Monday 1 June 2009

Sway a Champ in The Making














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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 1 JUNE 2009 - 00.09 pm
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The name is Sway, she is a three-year-old hurdler, trained by Guy Cherel in France. Victorious for her debut in the Prix Geographie, a 24,000 £ prize for unraced fillies over the minimum trip of 15 furlongs at Auteuil, the daughter of Califet disposed comfortably of her immediate rivals, made of stablemate Formerly -2nd- , Sakura des Bieffes, - 3rd - trained by master handler Guillaume Macaire, and Francois-Marie Cottin-trained Maryota -4th-. Until then, nothing outstanding, except perhaps the ease of her victory, relegating close opponents 6, 14, and 24 lenghts away.
A solid apprenticeship that led us to assume there was scope for further improvement. Now, what about it -the improvement - ?

On Friday 29th May, on her second outing only, Sway was stepped up in class in the Prix d'Iena, a 39,000£ Listed-Race contested over 2 miles and 2 furlongs at the same parisian track, taking on Tarla, - 2nd - a dual course and distance winner and Zandalee, another course and distance winner who notched third on her debut prior to that.

Well regarded front-runner Zandalee set a solid tempo before she was outstayed by
Tarla, the latter outpaced by Sway, who was storming home in outstanding fashion.
So far, so good, but still, nothing to get carried away with.

Only here comes an additional piece of evidence that entitles us to get carried away : 1'11'60! In addition to a quick rhythm, courtesy of Zandalee, the last five furlongs were rounded up in 1'11''60! An exceptional time over hurdles. Even though inappropriate but incredibly telling, top middle-distance horses would cover the last 1000 metres in around 1''00 on the Flat.

This means two things : On top of being unbeaten, Sway has proved she possesses pace - Sire Califet grabbed 4th in Marienbard's 2002 Arc - and stamina, and is outrageously agile over hurdles. How else could you handle obstacles at such pace? You have to be extremely talented. She is promised to the brightest career and major stables like Paul Nicholls' and Nicky Henderson's, always keen on French imports, will be monitoring her progress very closely.

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Sources : TV - http:/www.racingPost.com - .
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Saturday 30 May 2009

Come racing at Glorious Towcester

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 30 MAY 2009 - 00.44 am
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This was the first time I went to Towcester, as I was driving down the A43, there's one landmark you can't miss and that's Towcester racecourse with its towers standing proudly above the woods. Today, 29th May was the final racecard of the season. That's a bit unfortunate because I wish I could go back there before Wed 7th October, date of the next fixture. What a lovely place for a day out! What more can you ask? The setting is lovely, it's neat and tidy, the admission is free, the parking is free; the staff : smiley and helpful.



The state of the track is superb, and so is the surface; hats off to the groundsmen. The first thing which caught my eye was that I couldn't see the rail at the second bend. I then decided to walk alongside this rail and noticed how steep the descent and the uphill finish are; combine this with sharp bends, which even seem right-angled if you stand in the early part of any straight of the track, this has to be one of the toughest jumps track in the UK, maybe in Europe. The type that pushes horses to the limit and one that depicts jumping in a great fashion. Competitors of the caliber of Character Building, Marodima, or decent ones like D.E Pipe-trained Consigliere and more recently the promising Aachen have all competed here and similarly to Cheltenham, the demanding features of Towcester provide a genuine test for a racehorse. So what's the British Horse Racing Authority waiting for staging at least, a Group III event at Towcester? In all fairness, it's only legitimate and well deserved.


Back to the sporting action. Jumps jockeys are fearless. Half-way through the descent, there's an average-sized fence, about one metre high, it's typically the kind of fence horses can underestimate or tackle with over-confidence; only yesterday in the 7.30 Netvork Veka Class 4 Handicap Chase, none of them were playing up, all approaching that fence well in-line, jockeys high in the saddle, beautifully parallel one to another, one could not hear a sound, just the deep roaring bass of horses thundering down the course; mounts and pilots highly focused, they knew they had to be unusually focused because the pace they approached that fence was simply fast and furious. After the officials released the time, it wasn't so surprising that a new record was established - fast by 9.90 sec -.



An hour later, the 8.30 Glazerite Windows Ltd Class 4 Handicap Chase is constested at dramatic pace too. Lucky Luk and A.P Mcoy's mount Sea Wall displayed a thrilling battle two out. At this point, people are roaring with all their heart, and cheering Jason Maguire who is finally clearing away from one-paced gelding. On the way to the winner's enclosure, trainer K.C.Bailey is busy on the phone, he looks so composed; it's as if he knew his charge was going to score. Having said that, he surely didn't know that Lucky Luk completed the circuit 17 secs faster than standard time. Pictured left, winning trainer and jockey, K.Bailey & J.Maguire.



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Sources : Towcester Racecourse (link : http://www.towcester-racecourse.co.uk/ - and http://www.racingpost.com
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Thursday 28 May 2009

Hindu Kush The Brave

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 28 MAY 2009 - 20.51 pm
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8.00 Leopardstown Seamus & Rosemary Memorial Saval Beg Listed Race 1m 6f



Odds-on favourite Alandi for in-form John Oxx failed to catch up with the high tempo set by long-time leader Hindu Kush. H.H Aga Khan's four-year-old made an encouraging effort and stayed on well to grab second but even more courageous was Hindu Kush's display. Even though he is a natural front-runner, it's always a tough mission to make all the running over today's trip. Chris Hayes gave the son of Sadler's Wells a bold ride as he started to kick for home at the three-furlong marker repelling Sublimity -third -and Alandi's assaults in the closing stages.

Strong traveller Sublimity has the most stamina but did not have the necessary turn of foot to threaten the leader over this too short trip. The 2007 Champion Hurdler made a promising return to the Flat and his connections might gear him in that direction until the jumps season arrives. Alandi will improve from the run, he is still very unexposed and looks a smart stayer. Entered in the Irish St Leger he wasn't very lucky in the last fifty yards and seemed surprised rather than beaten.


North Yorkshire-based Dandy Nicholls maintains his impressive strike-rate in Ireland. When he makes the journey over the Irish Sea you'd better take notice. Out of seven runners, he sent a staggering four winners and one second to bag more than 98,000 £. Next intended runner in Ireland is course and distance winner Inxile, in a valuable contest, the Naas Sprint Listed Race Stakes.

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Sources : AtTheRaces TV Channel - http://www.RacingPost.com -
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Betting Report : 310/1 at 3.10


If I happened to be a layer - which I am not- I would have financial means - which I don't have - and I would always lay favourites or nothing bigger than 3/1. If you put yourself in the shoes of a layer, it's funny to see how cautious you end up when it comes to selecting 'no-hopers'. Basically they all have a chance and, it's only natural to think that Neil Charmers' mount, Lowther, had a tiny chance to land this Event Guard Staff Maiden Stakes. A little bit after 3.10, I would have had a heart-attack - or a 'laystroke' had I said : ''No this horse can't win here, he's quite priced but it don't matter''. But, why would you do that in the first place? Anyhow, I wish them a full recovery because 310/1 was the toll on Betfair.

Going back to his debut in a National Hunt Flat race at Ludlow, and given his pedigree, it is quite striking that he was able to 'make headway 5 furlongs out' which situates us around 11 furlongs in running. It's all the same rather surprising that Lowther's dam, ever-so mediocre sprinter Ever So Lonely is by Headin' up, another sprinter whose 6f stamina index wasn't very encouraging for a trip over a mile. American-bred Sire, Beat All is by Dynaformer out of Spirited Missus. Now, Beat All was actually a decent animal, third in Oath's Derby in 1999 and glancing at his progeny stats, interestingly enough, he's had a strike-rate of 22 per cent for producing 10-11f winners but dropping as low as 7 per cent for 7-9f winners. At any rate, it has taught us backers a lesson...Why would a trainer drop back in trip that much? From 16 f to 8f! It doesn't happen than often does it? That was puzzling and there had to be a reason.

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Sources : Betfair Betting Exchanges - http://www.racingPost.com
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Tuesday 26 May 2009

Beheshtam - Remember This Name

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 26 May 2009 - 21.12 pm

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''Bey - Hesh - Tam''. A word of advice : Remember the name. When H.R.H Aga Khan in person attends midweek racing at Longchamp - otherwise known as 'Le Temple du Galop' - you wonder why..now we know. Surely, The Prince knows he might hold a special horse in Beheshtam, and understandably so, was eager to see the colt's performance in today's main fixture, the 55,000 € Listed-Race Prix de l'Avre.


A fortnight ago, he made his debut at Maisons-Laffitte over the long distance of thirteen furlongs - 2,600m -, in a 34,000 € prize. Poised at the back of the field, he cantered to make headway and quickly asserted to bag a very comfy win. A few hours ago, he outgunned smart Claremont in a finish that developed into a sprint. The Peintre Célèbre colt already demonstrated an usual amount of stamina and today he showed us he was able to produce a deadly turn of foot in the closing stages of a valuable contest.



It's all very well to land a Listed-Race but it's even better to evaluate the form that's behind this success. In a nutshell, here is the opposition Beheshtam was facing today :

Claremont; André Fabre-trained, fourth run, third in a Gr II last time out, Galilei two victories to date and fourth outing as well. Acteur Célèbre, third appearance and third in a Listed Race last time out. Finally, Mojave Moon, fourth outing, one victory on the clock and World Heritage with a similar scoring sheet.

Needless to say that all opponents are progressive types, trained by leading French trainers, carry excellent breeding and have a bright future ahead of them. Notably, this Prix de l'Avre was a coveted trophy since all contestants were either owned by Prince Abdullah, the Wildenstein Family , H.R.H Aga Khan, the De Moussac family or Sheikh Mohammed. Except World Heritage, all competitors have twice as much racing experience as Beheshtam. Still, he manages to defeat them. It's not so much the winning margin that's telling; actually it isn't because he won by a short-head. It's the way he stamped his authority. Had there been thirty more yards, he would have scored by a good length at least. It's all the more remarkable since they went at a pedestrian pace - 2'38''40 - and when a slowly run race unfolds, the worst position you can think of is being the back marker. Beheshtam was the back marker!


Trainer Alain de Royer-Dupré was rather impressed and so was his breeder-owner. Interviewed on Equidia, stable jockey Christophe Soumillon '' We were facing tough competitors today and that was definitely a step up in class, I tried to get him to settle down at the back and from there I knew I had the race under control. I knew I had enough left in the tank to get them. He gives his best when able to go from last to first. We might race him over a shorter distance, perhaps 2,000 m - 10 furlongs - but it could prove too short a journey. I believe he's a genuine twelve furlongs-horse and is a Grand Prix de Paris - Gr I for 3 y-o staged in Mid July at Longchamp - , truly promising but still needs to learn his job'' was impressed too!


Now the Grand Prix de Paris is nothing but a major Arc trial. The line-up is made up of the smartest three-year-old colts and fillies around and it can be considered as a French late Derby. This race is a very tough heat and has thrown up the likes of Peintre Célèbre, Beat Hollow, Bago, Scorpion, Rail Link, Montmartre... See what I'm talking about? So, when you hear three-time Champion Jockey Soumillon's comments...you know...!

Until then ''He is now going for the Prix du Lys on June 14'' - Gr III, 2,400m at Longchamp won by former stablemate Montmartre in 2008 - ''What he's done today was very hard because there wasn't any pace'', said De Royer Dupré, live on French channel Equidia.

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Sources : TV -French Horseracing Channel : Equidia. Website : http://www.equidia.fr - http://www.racingpost.com - http://www.wikipedia.org.

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Wednesday 20 May 2009

Tattersalls Gold Cup, The Way The Ground Acts

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By ARSENE ABITBOL - 20 May 2009 - 23.55 pm
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A Coronation Stakes winner, two title-holders at Group I level in France and in Italy, a third in NewApproach's Derby, and runner-up in the French Derby. Between them, all contestants have accumulated over 3,000,000 £ in prize money. This sets the standards of this year's renewal, in other words, a fascinating contest not to be missed.

TheWayYouAre's full sister is a certain Peeping Fawn, a four-time Group I winner who defeated Light Shift on heavy ground in the 2007 Irish Oaks.
I am not stating that he's as smart as Sis, but the fact that he recorded his career-best in testing conditions when landing the Gr I Criterium International, aged two, does prove his ability. This may seem a long time ago now, but generally a juvenile who scores in such events is a classy animal and provided that all the bits and pieces are coming together at the right time, the road to success is imminent. I believe that's the case of TheWayyouare.

Previously trained by Andre Fabre, Sean Mulryan's four-year-old is now in the hands of Aidan O'Brien. On his reappearance in the Prix Ganay (Gr I), he disputed the lead before being outstayed in the last 200 yards. There was no disgrace in being defeated by Vision d'Etat and Loup Breton, far from it, and more importantly, this recent outing has shown very positive signs as to his fitness and fighting spirit and the bottomline is that he'll have come on for the run. Add to that the fact that with only eight outings to date, the son of Kingmambo is far from exposed and this means there is still room for improvement. Off a best rating of 117, he doesn't have much to find on his best form to be in the shake-up.

Co-headed by Famous Name and Casual Conquest , in that order, the market is made up of a horse who should like the ground and a horse who might cope with it. Only in Sunday's Tattersalls Cup, the deciding factor will be the heavy ground, and there's one horse who is sure to love it, his name is TheWayyouare.

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Sources : http://www.racingPost.com/

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